Spacer
Spacer
Spacer
 
Best of the Best: Today's Top Investment Ideas
Aden sisters: Hyper-inflation or deflation? Print E-mail Digg It!
Thursday, 30 October 2008

 “There’s no question these are dangerous times and the financial world is in uncharted waters,” caution resource experts Mary Anne and Pamela Aden.

In The Aden Forecast, the sisters offer an exceptional in-depth discussion on inflationary vs. deflationary foreces, their outlook for precious metals, and their top gold and silver positions for long-term investors.

“The global financial system is on very thin ice, teetering on collapse.  Global central banks clearly are literally pulling out all the stops to revive lending and the world economy.

“Will these efforts work? Will they be enough? Those are the most important unanswered questions of the day and only time will tell, but we should know much more in the critical month or so ahead. Why?

“The Fed is spending money at an astronomical rate. It’s creating this money out of thin air by monetizing bad debts and whatever else it has to. Remember, this is on top of all the other ongoing government expenses and it’s extremely inflationary.

“Normally, there is a lag of about a year or so between money creation and inflation but eventually, what’s recently happened will result in massive inflation, a much lower U.S. dollar and a soaring gold price.

“The bottom line is this, if the banks start to lend again, then the economy will be on the road to recovery and inflation. But we know the banks are scared and they’re being extremely cautious, for good reason.

“So if the banks decide not to lend and instead just sit on their cash, then the inflation process will freeze. In other words, the risk of defltion has greatly increased.

“Inflation is not a given and much will depend on what the banks do, or don’t do in the period just ahead. The Fed is providing the ammunition but the banks have to use it. If they don’t, the outcome could be much different than what most analysts feel is a done deal.

“At this point, it’s best to be prepared for either outcome. That means gold for inflation and cash for deflation, at least until we see how things unfold. The best investments right now are gold, the U.S. dollar and bonds, which reflect this economic see-saw.

“Currently, we have 35% of our total recommended portfolio in U.S. dollars and 30% in metals, which we advised raising to buy more gold. That gives us a 65% position in these markets.

“On a bright note, the stock market had six 90% down days in September-October and it’s had nine since April. These tend to come in clusters and they usually precede the final stock market bottom. If we look at the big picture of the Dow Industrials, you’ll see that this may be in the process of happening now.

“For now, bonds are looking good. The major trend for interest rates will remain down with the yields below 4.05% and 4.58% on the 10 and 30 year yields. As long as that’s the case, bond investors will do fine.

“In the gold market, he worst may finally be over. Even though it's premature and the markets are still not out of the woods, they started looking better this week, for the first time in quite a while.

"Gold reached an over one year low a week ago and it's now stabilizing near the lows by staying above $715 (basis December). Gold will start to look good above the $790-$800 level. 

“Investors should hold 10% of their portfolios in physical gold or the gold exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD). We also recommend that investors maintain a 20% position in gold, silver and gold shares.

“Among our recommended positions are Goldcorp (NYSE: GG), Agnico Eagle (NYSE: AEM), the iShares Silver Trust (ASE: SLV) and the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX).”




Spacer
 
Search Our Archives
Trading and Investing Tips
Ebix (EBIX): A stock split buy

 In his 2-for 1 advisory, Neil Macneale focuses exclusively on buying stocks that have just announced upcoming stock splits. The latest buy in his portfolio is Ebix (NASDAQ: EBIX).

Read more...

ETF expert targets energy

 "One sector I’ve been watching closely for an attractive entry point is energy, and that point is here in the Energy Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLE)," says Doug Fabian in The ETF Trader.

Read more...

Revlon (REV): A beauty buy

 "Revlon (NYSE: REV) promises a better look for both consumers and investors," says Ian Wyatt. In his The SmallCap Investor, he says, "The company is firing on all cylinders." 

Read more...

A 'Select' pick in technology

 "I remain bullish on technology heading into 2010," says fund expert Jim Lowell. In The Fidelity Investor, he reviews one of his long-standing buys in the sector -- Select Technology (FSPTX).

Read more...

CVS (CVS): A Ben Graham value

 In The Cabot Benjamin Graham Value Letter, an exceptional service that picks stocks meeting the criteria of the legendary investor, J. Royden Ward looks at CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS).

Read more...

Royale Energy (ROYL): Gas gains

 Konrad Kuhn, a specialist in low-priced stocks, sees upside potential in Royale Energy (NASDAQ: ROYL), a speculative play on natural gas. Here's the latest from The Kon-Lin Letter.

Read more...

Bernie bets: Puts and calls

 Bernie Schaeffer uses a combination of fundamental and technical and sentiment indicators to select his stock and options trades. Here's a long and a short idea from The Options Advisor.

Read more...

Disney (DIS): High quality value

 "An improving economy provides lots of leverage for theme-park, media, and movie operations at Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS)," says Chuck Carlson in his The DRIP Investor.

Read more...

The US dollar: A contrary view

 "Everybody thinks the US dollar is toast but I suspect that a sharp, if temporary rally will be with us before long," says Carl Delfeld in his Chartwell ETF Advisor. Here's his overview.

Read more...

Adens stick with gold

 "Despite recent gains gold is not yet overbought and the current rise is likely headed higher," say resource experts Mary Anne and Pamela Aden. Here's their latest from The Aden Forecast.

Read more...

Spacer
Support TheStockAdvisors.com



FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites
newsflashr network
 
Get A Quote
Symbol
Most Popular Articles
Translate This Site


 

Enter email:

 

 Our Partners

 Newsletter Newsmore...
Delfeld: Red, White & Bold

Global expert Carl Delfeld's new book -- Red, White & Bold -- is now available. Steve Forbes says, "Carl's perspective is truly unique and insightful in  understanding the global economy."


Toby Smith goes "green"

Toby Smith, editor of ChangeWave Investing, has just published his new book on investing in green technology -- Billion Dollar Green.


Gone Fishin' Portfolio

A new book from The Oxford Club's Alexander Green -- The Gone Fishin' Portfolio -- provides an all-weather approach to building long-term wealth.


An expert's guide to China

Check out Jim Trippon's new book, Becoming Your Own China Stock Guru. To order the book, click here.


©2008 The Stock Advisors | About TSA | Home | News From The Newsletters | Ask The Experts | Disclaimer
Clicky Web Analytics