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Best of the Best: Today's Top Investment Ideas
Xcel: 'Low risk, steady gains' Print E-mail Digg It!
Tuesday, 01 July 2008

"Xcel Energy (NYSE: XEL) has offered low risk and steady gains for several years as the utility recovered from a brush with bankruptcy," says Roger Conrad in The Utility Forecaster.

"After a solid 29.6% first quarter gain, earnings for the electric and gas utility are on track to hit $1.45 to $1.55 for 2008. That’s the highest since Xcel dumped its money-losing unregulated operations and returned to its former operations as an eight-state regulated utility.

"The balance sheet for is rated BBB+, and equity has climbed back to 44% of capital. Xcel’s future growth will come from rate-base growth, which is expected to average 7% annually through 2011.

"Most will go to renewable energy and 'negawatts' (conservation) that enjoy strong regulatory support, maximizing recovery of investment in rates.

"A smart grid for Boulder, Colo.—targeted for completion in December 2009—could be a prototype for the rest of the company’s system. If successful, the ute will save energy, reducing construction needs and carbon emissions. Moreover, the cost--much of which is government-subsidized--will boost earnings.

"For the past five years, Xcel has averaged annual total returns of a little more than 13%. Adding projected rate base growth to a yield of slightly more than 4%, look for 11% to 12% returns over the next five years.

 "Buy Xcel Energy up to 25. In addition, the Xcel Preferred E (NYSE: XEL-PE), which pays quarterly dividends of $1.04, is a buy up to 82."




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