George Putnam
The Turnaround Letter
John Reese
Validea
Elliott Gue
Personal Finance
Nicholas Vardy
Bull Market Alert

Turnaround expert: 8 stocks below 1999 highs


Bookmark and Share

 "We all know that, despite the big run-up recently, many stocks are still below their highs of a year or two ago," obesrves turnaround expert George Putnam.

In The Turnaround Letter, he suggests, "But what about some of the biggest, best known and best managed companies that are trading below where they were ten years ago? That’s pretty tempting." Here, he looks at 8 stocks that still trade below their 1999 highs.

"Sure, late 1999 was the last gasp of the Internet bubble, and so that explains some of the tech names. But our list includes retail, beverage, entertainment, drug and other low-tech businesses.

"We can’t tell you exactly what is going to propel these stocks back to their former heights – if it were obvious, Wall Street would be all over these stocks and they wouldn’t still be in the doldrums – but we think many of them could be poised to rebound.

"Moreover, a number of them have generous dividends, so that you get paid while you wait. 

"Alcoa (NYSE: AA), as one of the world’s largest suppliers of aluminum, has faced substantial headwinds during the economic downturn. A slide in revenues began in the third quarter of 2007, but in the most recent quarter, the company returned to profitability.

"In addition to improving cyclical trends (such as better supply/inventory balances), Alcoa is benefiting from growing demand out of China. To be sure, the company will profit most from a broad-based economic recovery. But at current prices, there appears to be sufficient value to await the upturn.

Advertisement
Banner

"Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) is perhaps the most widely recognized brand name worldwide. Some may think the fizz has gone out of the brand, but Coke’s steps in non-carbonated beverages, such as, Dasani water, Powerade sports drinks and Minute Maid juices are paying off.

"And even the core Coke product still has good potential in China and other international markets. 

"Disney (NYSE: DIS) is the consummate consumer discretionary company, including not only its resorts, movies and consumer products, but also its media outlets ESPN and ABC, which depend on consumer-focused advertising.

"Everyone is still wringing their hands about the prospects for consumer spending, but for patient investors Disney is a well managed company with strong brands and unmatched assets.

"Home Depot (NYSE: HD) pioneered the concept of home improvement superstores, and the stock rode a wave of popularity to P/E multiples in the 60s and 70s around the turn of the century.

"More recently, the company stumbled as it tried to fend off competition from Lowes and others. However, under CEO Frank Blake, who took over in 2007, the company seems to be getting back on track.

"Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) is the world’s largest maker of semiconductors. Despite strong competition, Intel has found a way to remain the technology leader in chips used from PCs and high- end servers to wireless communications and graphics.

"The whole sector has been weak for several years, but when the demand for tech products begins to pick up again, Intel will be one of the primary beneficiaries.

"Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) may seem like a stodgy behemoth these days, but it is taking a number of steps to restore profit growth. The company is aggressively cutting costs at the same time as it is unveiling its latest operating system, Windows 7.

"In addition, it has opened its first retail store and is showing increased willingness to enter into strategic partnerships with others such as Yahoo and Nokia. We wouldn’t bet against Goliath in this battle.

"Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) just completed a $68 billion acquisition of Wyeth, a merger that will significantly expand Pfizer’s reach, both in terms of existing product offerings and new drug pipeline.

"Management expects $4 billion in synergy savings, and that is on top of a general $2 billion cost-reduction program already underway.

"While the entire healthcare sector has been weak as investors worry about what the politicians in Washington are up to, we believe that Pfizer is well positioned for sustained growth.

"Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) is the world’s largest retailer. Once you get to a certain size, your growth rate inevitably has to slow. But Wal-Mart has been diligent about focusing on new categories of merchandise where it quickly becomes a market leader, such as groceries, toys and electronics.

"While the stock has gone nowhere for ten years, the financial results have continued to improve – essentially growing into the stock price. While Wal-Mart may never again be a growth stock, it now looks like a very attractive value play."


News Flash

Taseko Mines: Copper gains
by Brien Lundin, editor Gold Newsletter

Taseko Mines Limited (TGB) began January by announcing its fourth quarter and year-end production results for 2011 at its 75%-owned Gibraltar Mine in British Columbia.


Read more...

 

Select Dividend for equity income
by Benjamin Shepherd, editor Wall Street

For just the second time since 1947, the dividend yield on the S&P 500 exceeds the yield on 10-year US Treasury notes. The S&P 500 currently yields 2.2 percent, while 10-year Treasuries yield just 1.85 percent.


Read more...


   

Goldcorp: 'My favorite major'
by Curtis Hesler, editor Professional Timing Service

The secular bull in gold and the commodity sector is not over. However, it is not at the ground floor any longer either; as such, stock selection must be more carefully considered.


Read more...

 

Money manager's small cap buys
by Jim Oberweis Jr., editor The Oberweis Report

Small-cap growth stock valuations are cheap, and like most things in life, economies are cyclical, even if this is a long and painful one. For the rare, brave contrarian with a reasonably long time horizon, that spells opportunity.


Read more...

 

Opportunities in homebuilding?
by Bernie Schaeffer, editor Schaeffer's Investment Research

Based on our "expectational analysis" strategy -- which  combines fundamental, sentiment and technical metrics -- I initiated long positions in two homebuilding stocks: Lennar Corporation (LEN) and Toll Brothers (TOL).


Read more...

 

Cliffs Natural: A DRIP favorite
by Vita Nelson, editor MoneyPaper

Our latest featured dividend reinvestment stock is Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF). Founded in 1847, the former Cleveland-Cliffs is the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America.


Read more...

 

S&P's trio of info tech ETFS
by Dylan Cathers, S&P Capital IQ Equity Analyst, S&P The Outlook

Information technology is one of four sectors that S&P Capital IQ’s Sector Strategy Group currently recommends investors overweight in their portfolios.


Read more...

 

Crescent Point: Bakken bet
by Brian Hicks, editor Wealth Advisory

Master Limited Partnerships (MLPs) are unique investments that combine the tax benefits of a limited partnership (LP) with the liquidity of common stock.


Read more...

 

Natural gas: A bottom?
by Jason Cimpl, editor Daily Profit

Natural gas has collapsed for the past four years and has been on a gradual decline for almost a decade. Prices topped near $16 in 2005 and then declined to $2. So did natural gas just bottom?


Read more...

 

FBR Focus bests 99% of peers
by Walter Frank, editor MoneyLetter

Funds that invest in a relatively few stocks or sectors are less diversified than broadly invested funds and their volatility can be much higher. But the team at FBR Focus (FBRVX) seems to be getting it right.


Read more...