Mike Cintolo
Cabot Top Ten Trader
Geoffrey Seiler
Bullmarket.com
Sy Harding
Street Smart Report
Nicholas Vardy
Bull Market Alert

11 Buffett bets from an S&P screen


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by S&P Capital IQ, Standard & Poor's The Outlook

S&P The OutlookWarren Buffett has earned a reputation as one of the preeminent value investors of all time. But how does Buffett make his picks?

It is important to note these are not stocks Buffett has purchased or announced plans to purchase. They are simply stocks that meet the criteria that Buffett has emphasized in the past.

In short, Buffett uses these five investment criteria:
  • Free cash flow (net income after taxes, plus depreciation and amortization, less capital expenditures) of at least $250 million.

  • Net profit margin of 15% or more.

  • Return on equity of at least 15% for each of the past three years and the most recent quarter.

  • A dollar’s worth of retained earnings creating at least a dollar’s worth of shareholder value over the past five years.

  • Ample liquidity. Only stocks with a market capitalization of at least $500 million are included.
In the “Warren Buffett” portfolio, which is maintained by S&P Dow Jones Indices, which operates independently from S&P Capital IQ, one more criterion is added to eliminate overvalued stocks.


Overpriced stocks are identified by comparing our five-year discounted cash flow (DCF) estimate with the current price.

It is also important to note that not all of the stocks in the Buffett portfolio are covered by S&P Capital IQ equity analysts, and some that are covered are not recommended for purchase according to S&P Capital IQ’s fundamental analysis.

(Editor's note from TheStockAdvisors: In The Outlook's original article, 34 stocks passed this S&P screen; below, we list only the 11 that passed this screen and also earn Standard & Poor's "buy" and "strong buy" ratings.)

Year to date through September, the Buffett portfolio gained 11% vs. a 14.6% increase for the S&P 500 on a capital appreciation basis.

Since inception on February 13, 1995 through February 29, 2012, the portfolio gained 513% vs. 199% for the benchmark. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Based on this screen, these stocks might satisfy the “Oracle of Omaha.”

Altera (ALTR)
Amgen (AMGN)
Apple (AAPL)
Baidu (BIDU)
Brown-Forman (BF.B)
Canadian Nat’l Railway (CNI)
Coca-Cola (KO)
Gilead Sciences (GILD)
Int’l Bus. Machines (IBM)
McDonald’s (MCD)
T.Rowe Price Group (TROW)
Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. (TSM)

Learn more about this financial newsletter at S&P The Outlook.

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