Recent Articles
New: Be the first to
follow us on Twitter.


China Stocks

More Articles...

Consumer Stocks

More Articles...

Energy Stocks

More Articles...

ETFs & Mutual Funds

More Articles...

Global Investing

More Articles...

Gold & Materials Stocks

More Articles...

Income Investing

More Articles...

Industrial Stocks

More Articles...

Healthcare & Biotech

More Articles...

Technology Stocks

More Articles...

Todays Best Investment Ideas
Bernie bets: Puts and calls
Monday, November 16, 2009

 Bernie Schaeffer uses a combination of fundamental and technical and sentiment indicators to select his stock and options trades. Here's a long and a short idea from The Options Advisor.

"While Armstrong World Industries (NYSE: AWI) specializes in flooring, the shares are far from getting trampled underfoot.

"In fact, following a 319% rally off its March lows, AWI now sports a year-to-date gain of nearly 78%. What’s more, the shares have outperformed the S&P500 Index by some 62% on a relative-strength basis during the past 60 trading days.

"Currently, the shares are trending higher along solid support at their 10-day and 20-day moving averages, below which AWI has closed only once since mid-July.

"Sentiment is decidedly bearish on the security; the 10-day put/call ratio arrives at 5.8, as puts bought to open have nearly sextupled calls purchased during the past two weeks.

"Additionally, short interest accounts for more than 6% of AWI’s float. An unwinding of this pessimism should help propel the shares steadily higher. For options traders, we recommend buying the June 35 calls.

"St. Jude Medical (NYSE: STJ) has been a broad-market laggard lately, underperforming the SPX by 22% during the past 60 sessions.

"Weighing on the stock has been its 20-month moving average, which has been breached only once on a monthly closing basis since September 2008. Nevertheless, the Street’s outlook toward STJ remains sunny, with 14 out of 24 ranking analysts deeming the stock a 'buy' or better.

"Plus, the equity’s open intererest rate rests at 0.35, suggesting calls virtually triple puts among options slated to expire within three months. Amid the stock’s technical troubles, these bulls could abandon ship. 

"A round of downgrades or a reversal in sentiment in the options pits could exacerbate STJ’s challenges on the charts. For options traders, we recommend buying the April 40 puts."

 

Newsletter News & Deals

Sign up now for our free Daily Newsletter



Meet the KCI editors

Join Roger Conrad, Gregg Early, Elliott Gue, and Yiannis Mostrous in San Diego on April 23-24. Call 1-800-832-2330 or go to www.InvestingSummit.com.

 
Dividend Still Don't Lie

Dividends Don't Lie -- by IQ Trends founder Geraldine Weiss -- is one of the all-time great investment books.

Now, editor Kelley Wright is following up this classic with Dividend Still Don't Lie, which can be ordered at a significant discount.

 
Keith Fitz-Gerald: Fiscal Hangover

Get a $10 discount on Keith's new book on global investing -- Fiscal Hangover. Click here.

 
Red, White & Bold

Global expert Carl Delfeld's new book -- Red, White & Bold -- is now available.

 
Gone Fishin' Portfolio

The Oxford Club's Alexander Green has released an exceptional new book-- The Gone Fishin' Portfolio -- which provides an all-weather approach to investing.

 
EconoPower

Mark Skousen's latest book, “EconoPower: How a New Generation of Economists is Transforming the World” (Wiley & Sons), is available for $16.47 (plus shipping) from Amazon.com (retail $24.95).

 
Guide to seasonal trading

Sy Harding has published Beat the Market the Easy Way -- an in-depth review of seasonal market patterns and their application to long-term timing.

 
Dick Davis Dividend

In The Dick Davis Dividend, the investing legend shares a lifetime of insights on investing.