Recent Articles
New: Be the first to
follow us on Twitter.


China Stocks

More Articles...

Consumer Stocks

More Articles...

Energy Stocks

More Articles...

ETFs & Mutual Funds

More Articles...

Global Investing

More Articles...

Gold & Materials Stocks

More Articles...

Income Investing

More Articles...

Industrial Stocks

More Articles...

Healthcare & Biotech

More Articles...

Technology Stocks

More Articles...

Todays Best Investment Ideas
Peabody Energy (BTU): Hannah Choe's top 2010 stock
Tuesday, January 05, 2010

 "Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), the world’s largest coal producer, is my top pick for the coming year," says Hannah Choe.

The contributing analyst with Personal Finance explains, "Demand for coal, particularly from the Pacific Rim, China and India, is rebounding as the global economy recovers."

"The company reported better-than-expected third quarter earnings, primarily because of a lower costs associated with US operations, increased volumes of metallurgical coal, and strong trading results.

"Net income and revenue were down 71% and 12%, respectively, hurt mainly by lower US demand. But despite a difficult economic environment, Peabody expanded US margins and shipped record volumes of coal in the third quarter.

"Although demand from Japan and South Korea hasn’t bounced back as strongly as it has in the early stages of prior recoveries, China has more than made up for this shortfall, emerging as a top coal importer.

"In the first nine months of 2009, Chinese imports of thermal and coking coal rose 167% and 400%, respectively. And India will rely heavily on coal imports over the next five to six years to feed its rising domestic consumption of electricity.

"Peabody CEO Greg Boyce anticipates that China will grow by 8% and India will grow by 6% in 2009, with even more impressive rates in 2010.

"As a result, management projects markets for metallurgical and thermal coal to have a 7.5% compound annual growth rate in the next five-plus years as demand for steel and coal-fueled electricity rise.

"As of mid-October, Peabody committed 3.3 million tons of coal for China deliveries in 2009, more than 1.7 million tons coming from its Australian operations. This demand from Asia should push Australia’s coal sales to 21 million to 23 million tons this year.

"Peabody’s US sales declined, in part due to recession pressures; cooler weather and rising use of natural gas also crimped results. This combination of trends has led management to adjust 2010 product projects 15 million tons below 2008 levels.

"Although US numbers are weak, third quarter sales from Peabody’s Australia operations climbed 30 percent from the second quarter, driven by surging demand in China and India.

"The Australia unit projects sales of growth of 15% for 2010 over 2009 levels; Peabody actually plans to double exports from Australia over the next five years.

"As part of its shift in focus to Asia, Peabody established a trading hub in Singapore and a new business center in Indonesia during the third quarter. Based on emerging Asia’s rapid turnaround, Peabody forecasts higher prices for thermal and coking coal in 2010.

"Green energy is gaining popularity but coal remains king-half of the electricity generated in the US comes from it, and emerging markets want it, too. Global coal use is still expected to grow by 55% by 2025, and Peabody Energy is well positioned to profit."

 

Newsletter News & Deals

Sign up now for our free Daily Newsletter



Meet the KCI editors

Join Roger Conrad, Gregg Early, Elliott Gue, and Yiannis Mostrous in San Diego on April 23-24. Call 1-800-832-2330 or go to www.InvestingSummit.com.

 
Dividend Still Don't Lie

Dividends Don't Lie -- by IQ Trends founder Geraldine Weiss -- is one of the all-time great investment books.

Now, editor Kelley Wright is following up this classic with Dividend Still Don't Lie, which can be ordered at a significant discount.

 
Keith Fitz-Gerald: Fiscal Hangover

Get a $10 discount on Keith's new book on global investing -- Fiscal Hangover. Click here.

 
Red, White & Bold

Global expert Carl Delfeld's new book -- Red, White & Bold -- is now available.

 
Gone Fishin' Portfolio

The Oxford Club's Alexander Green has released an exceptional new book-- The Gone Fishin' Portfolio -- which provides an all-weather approach to investing.

 
EconoPower

Mark Skousen's latest book, “EconoPower: How a New Generation of Economists is Transforming the World” (Wiley & Sons), is available for $16.47 (plus shipping) from Amazon.com (retail $24.95).

 
Guide to seasonal trading

Sy Harding has published Beat the Market the Easy Way -- an in-depth review of seasonal market patterns and their application to long-term timing.

 
Dick Davis Dividend

In The Dick Davis Dividend, the investing legend shares a lifetime of insights on investing.