Mike Cintolo
Cabot Top Ten Trader
Geoffrey Seiler
Bullmarket.com
Sy Harding
Street Smart Report
Nicholas Vardy
Bull Market Alert

Neil Macneale


Bookmark and Share
Neil Macneale III was born in Ohio in 1945, attended Phillips Academy in Andover, MA, and graduated from Stanford in 1969.

Married while in college, he and his wife, Ellen, served as VISTA volunteers in rural Maryland for 2 1/2 years, and then returned to California. Neil obtained his General Contractors License and went into the remodeling business.

In 1974, he joined a large commercial builder as a project manager and field superintendent, managing multi-million dollar office building construction projects.

In 1987, Neil Macneale Inc. was incorporated and Neil developed a successful home inspection business in the San Francisco Bay Area. Mr. Macneale now is retired and he and his wife buy and renovate old homes "just for fun".

Stock market investing has been a passion of Mr. Macneale for over 25 years. However, during the busy years of starting a family and a business at the same time, the family's retirement account was put in the hands of a very capable money manager who is a "value" investor of the Buffet and Graham school.

The account did well, and for the 80s and 90s so far, has kept just about even with the market. In early 1996, Mr. Macneale acted on a desire to get back into the active management of his IRA account.

Studying a theory of stock picking involving companies that had announced 2 for 1 splits, a procedure was developed for picking and managing stocks that showed great promise.

Numerous test portfolios were tried and, at the end of July 1996, $50,000 was invested in a real IRA account that reflected the best of the test portfolios.

 Each month, a statement of that account is published on the last page of our 2 for 1 newsletter. Publishing and distributing this newsletter is simply a natural extension of the excitement and pride derived from the development of an investment procedure that could help many toward their goal of financial independence.

Mr. Macneale has qualified as a Registered Investment Advisor in the State of California.

What's so special about stocks that have split?

The original idea for the 2 for 1 portfolio and newsletter came from an article entitled "A Strong Signal" that appeared in the April 22, 1996 of Forbes magazine.

This piece discusses a study undertaken at Rice University where the performance of stocks split 2 for 1 is measured in relation to performance of the market as a whole.

The final results of the study are published in the Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis and would indicate that there is a measurable difference in the performance, for up to three years, of stocks that have split 2 for 1 as opposed to those that have not.

What is "laddering"?

Laddering is the technique of regularly buying and selling securities in a portfolio so as to always maintain a constant number of securities as the portfolio moves through time.

The theory, for 2 for 1, is that our stocks statistically do better than the market for 2 to 3 years, based on a Rice University study. We keep 30 stocks in the portfolio (30 months = 2 1/2 years).

Each month we sell the oldest "at the top of the ladder" and buy a new stock to put "at the bottom of the ladder." This procedure eliminates the problems associated with trying to time the market and agonizing over when to sell a stock.

Why not 3 for 2 splits?

The question is, "Why don't we include stocks that have split 3 for 2 or by some other formula?" We include 2 for 1 and higher splits (such as 3 for 1), but not 3 for 2 or lower. Our procedure is based on one basic consideration.

The entire 2 for 1 strategy and procedure relies on David Ikenbery's Rice University original study and follow-up study on stock splits. The studies show that the group of stocks that had announced splits had a better overall performance, over two to three years, than a group of similar stocks that had not split.

For our purposes, the number of stocks splitting 2 for 1 or higher is more than enough to provide several good companies to choose from each month. Remember, we only need one!
Doing the research and sifting through the 20 to 50 stocks that split 2 for 1 or 3 for 1 each month is time consuming enough.

Why would one want to make the list any longer? To this some might say, "but what if the most promising stock splits 3 for 2 instead of 2 for 1?"

You can only know this after the fact, and one need only look at the many very successful stocks that we have passed up to realize that our odds would not have improved by simply making the pool we picked from larger.

The success of our portfolio does not depend so much on the selection of individual winners as it does on assembling a group of stocks that has a slightly better than even chance of beating the market.

The most common question about 2 for 1 is "What are your results?" Since inception, the 2 for 1 portfolio has returned over 9.1% annualized, well over two times the retun of the S&P 500 (4.0%).

This is a real portfolio of real stocks in the author's own IRA account. The monthly newsletter describes, in detail, how the 2 for 1 strategy works, so you can duplicate these results with only a few minutes of effort each month.


Advertisement
Banner
News Flash

Express Scripts: Obamacare buy
by J. Royden Ward, editor Cabot Benjamin Graham Value Investor

I am attracted to healthcare stocks because the confusion surrounding “ObamaCare” has held healthcare stock prices back. I think Express Scripts (ESRX) is very likely to shine in 2013.


Read more...

 

Hodges: High conviction funds
by Walter Frank, editor MoneyLetter

Over the last two months, Hodges Fund (HDPMX) has made a strong run to the top echelons of our domestic stock fund rankings. And one of its siblings, Hodges Small Cap (HDPSX) has been within the top decline of the small blend category from 2009 through last year, and is in the top 20% this year.


Read more...


   

United Natural: A play on Whole Foods
by Mark Skousen, editor Hedge Fund Trader Alert

We’ve recommended Whole Foods Market (WFM) from time to time, and the stock has moved up sharply in the past three years, but I’d like to suggest an alternative -- one of Whole Foods’ primary suppliers, United Natural Foods (UNFI).


Read more...

 

Timing expert eyes India
by Sy Harding, editor Street Smart Report

The money flow and momentum reversals in India's Bombay Index have now been enough to trigger buy signals on intermediate-term indicators. With this new buy signal, we have added a position in the iShares India 50 ETF (INDY) to our portfolio.


Read more...

 

Value investor goes with Guess
by Charles Mizrahi, editor Hidden Values Alert

Guess?, Inc. (GES) is a holding in our special situation portfolio; its strong product quality has created brand name recognition and a loyal consumer following.


Read more...

 

MGAM: Bingo, lotteries, casinos
by Jim Oberweis, Jr., editor The Oberweis Report

Multimedia Games Holding Company (MGAM) makes innovative gaming systems for Native American and commercial casino operators in North America, lottery operators, and charity and commercial bingo operators.


Read more...

 

Fidelity expert: Bowers' bond bets
by Jack Bowers, editor Fidelity Monitor & Insight

If you’ve been worried that the bond market might take a big hit, you can relax. Indeed, while bond funds may lag stock funds over the next 5-10 years, they still have a decent shot at keeping up with inflation, and they remain an excellent way to cut risk in a blended portfolio.


Read more...

 

Tesla: 'Out of the ball park'
by Timothy Lutts. editor Cabot Stock of the Month

Tesla (TSLA), our previously featured Stock of the Month and our top stock pick for 2013, knocked the ball out of the park in its latest quarter. The company exceeded analysts' expectations on all counts: cars sold, revenues, earnings, gross margins and more.


Read more...

 

5 ways to speculate on Cuba
by Jim Powell, editor Global Changes & Opportunities Report

With the death of Hugo Chavez in March, and Venezuela’s economic decline, the heavily subsidized oil lifeline is likely to be cut or sharply reduced. I think the resulting energy squeeze will force Cuba to allow greater foreign trade and investment.


Read more...

 

Big gains in nanotechnology?
by Doug Fabian, editor Making Money Alert

The nanotechnology niche focuses on very small, even microscopic, technology. Nanotech has produced technological developments in medicine (lasers), electronics (ink jet systems) and biomaterials (chemical and bio-detectors).


Read more...

 



Banner



Close
Select Offer: Schwab Options Market Commentary